The defense department’s NEXT gold rush
Good morning! š
Regional banks are on the rebound, and the CPI came in at ājustā +6% from a year ago.
Will it slow down?
Not for a New York minute.
The supply chain is still a slow-motion train wreck, there are still trillions of dollars in stimulus sloshing around in the system, and the government wants to spend more money still! š¤¦āāļø
Scary stuff, but as always, thatās an opportunity!
Hereās my playbook.
Thereās only one bank I wanna own (and do)
Credit Suisse has announced a āmaterial weaknessā after reporting an $8B loss. (Read)
Material?
You know the SHTF when they have to use euphemisms to sugarcoat the truth.
Thereās only one bank I wanna own and do. (Watch)
Ukraine to Russia: JDAM this!
Gravity bombs are just what the name implies... you drop āem, they fall and explode on target.
JDAM-ERs are different.
The dang things can fly 45 miles after being released to strike targets; and, Ukraine just got a slew of āem. Russia may have to rethink its battlefield tactics because this potentially brings new targets within range. (Read)
If youāre not investing in defense, you might want to rethink that proposition.
Hollywood couldnāt have made this up
The SVB situation would be a comedy of errors if it werenāt so sad.
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SVB execs apparently sold blocks of shares before everything came unglued.
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SVB employees received bonuses hours before regulators shuttered everything.
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SVBās Chief Administrative Officer Joseph Gentile was former CFO at Lehman Brothers.
Now weāre learning that Kim Olson, SVBās recently appointed chief risk officer, worked at Deutsche Bank from 2007⦠and hereās the clincher⦠at the time when it lied to investors about its mortgage-backed securities (the collapse of which led to the housing crisis). (Read)
Whatās next?
Ties between SVB and SBF?
There are already reports circulating that Silvergateāthe āotherā failed bankāhad ties to FTX, so this isnāt as outlandish a stretch as one might think.
Oy vey!!
The next defense contract gold rush
Itās all on the Armyās shopping list⦠zero trust, cloud transition, BYOD, and other digital transformation schtuff. (Read)
Now if only there were a company capable of providing all that!
Oh waitā¦
There are two in the One Bar Ahead Model Portfolio right now. Oneās posted a total return of 48.33% while the otherās returned 32.51% over the past 2 years, according to Eikon. The S&P 500, by comparison, has shed -2.12% over the same time frame. Upgrade to Paid
Buy, sell, or hold: UBER, LYFT
Shares of UBER and LYFT shot higher in the pre-market after a California court ruled that drivers should be treated as independent contractors instead of employees. (Read)
Should you take a ride?
Itās one thing if youāre a trader and nimble enough to navigate the nonsenseābut as an investor, no way. Any 12-year-old with a bike basket is a competitor for food delivery services, and self-driving cars will torpedo the current business model.
Both companies are ān+1ā to borrow a term from Peter Thiel... meaning theyāre just incremental upgrades in the grand scheme of things. Not breakthrough āZero to 1ā tech like everybody thinks.
Ordinarily, Iād be thinking putskies, but Wall Street seems to want to defend the stock, so thatās too dicey a proposition for my taste.
Bottom Line
There are lots of types of investments.
Some will do you more harm than good.
Find the ones that work for YOU and move you toward YOUR goals!
As always, letās MAKE it a great day!
Keith š