Will NVDA move the markets or just NVDA?
Good morning! đ
Futures are up as the market awaits Nvidiaâs earnings.
Thatâs typical ahead of major events.
What strikes me is just how much energy is being stored up for a big move. Volatility (as we measure it) has dropped precipitously, which tells me whatever happens next could be B.I.G!
Incidentally, I run this proprietary analysis nightly to keep track of things and thought you might appreciate seeing a glimpse from one of my daily âhot sheetsâ with the current reading circled in red.
Hereâs my playbook.
NVDA Day
I laid out a three-part strategy yesterday for investors and traders who are interested in playing along, so I wonât repeat that here. (Read)
Instead, and to reiterate, NVDAâs earnings are NOT a precursor to what happens next for the entire market. Theyâre about NVDA.
Do NOT make the mistake of thinking otherwise.
While itâs true that the entire market may move based on NVDAâs results, thatâs an opportunity to evaluate stocks you own or want to own on their own merits.
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Iâm getting my list ready if thereâs a drop; and,
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Iâm comfortable with what I own if the markets want to run higher.
You?
PS: If you want to follow along, you can listen to NVDAâs call here.
PTON: The laundry hanger market has cracked
Peloton, which I have long maintained makes some of the worldâs most expensive laundry hangers, is down in the dumps. (Read) PTON stock dropped nearly 30% in the premarket after an abysmal earnings report in which the company blamed a seat post recall and seasonal results for the poor showing.
Basically, itâs a case of the dog ate my homework.
The real problem here continues to be management, which either didnât see this coming or failed to take corrective action when they did. If they did.
Personally, I donât know how they could have missed it⌠20,000 people cancelled their subscriptions while waiting for the recall. Perhaps theyâve got a few Fed employees on staff and thought it was âtransitoryâ... but I digress. [face palm]
The company plans to announce loads of âglobal partnershipsâ that will be game-changers.
Weâll see.
The only game-changer out there is whether or not people want to ride and how much theyâre willing to fork over to do it.
Consumer weak, retailers split
PTON, Foot Locker tank, yet Kohlâs and Abercrombie & Fitch soar.
What gives?
Same stuff weâve talked about since COVIDâthe retail market will split into factions dominated by consumers purchasing ânice to have stuffâ and those few retailers capable of building a community that blends offline and online behaviour with carefully cultivated branding.
Personally, I wonât touch a traditional retail stock at the moment.
Short, avoid, or if youâve got the moxy, putskies.
Amazon employees quitting because they donât want to move
Reports are surfacing that Amazon employees are quitting after being told theyâd have to relocate. (Read)
Itâs a free countryâand while weâre at it, good luck replacing the bennies!
Call me crazy or perhaps I am just naĂŻve, but I was raised in a different generation. You went to where the work was if you wanted to work. In my case, I moved cross-country and around the world several times. If you donât see things that way, thatâs different and thatâs okay, but thatâs also on you⌠not Amazon.
Just talking about this yesterday with the fabulous Scott âthe Cow Guyâ Shellady on RFDTV. (Watch)
I think Amazonâs HR department will be glad to shed some overhead because itâll help improve profitability.
âArms raceâ for semiconductors underway
According to Bloomberg, Chinese company Huawei is building âa collection of secret semiconductor fabrication facilities across China.â (Read) My guess is, using some form of stolen US and European tech.
Weâve talked about this several times.
China wouldnât make a move like that unless it already had a Plan B.
Chinaâs military/economic doctrine is based in part on distributed manufacturing to maintain production during times of war or conflict. The thinking dates back to WWII when leaders learned not to concentrate their resources. That lesson was subsequently reinforced in Gulf War I where Chinese oil contracts were repudiated when Iraq was invaded. And again more recently as part of the ongoing tech/espionage/trade situation.
If you donât own US and European chip makers, you better think seriously about changing that up. Schtuffâs about to get real.
I recommend two. Upgrade to Paid
Bottom Line
Iâve always believed that anybody can be wildly successful in the stock market with the right information, education, and tactics.
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Learn!
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Find a mentor.
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Learn some more!
Every day is a new opportunity.
Now, as always, MAKE it a great one!
Keith đ