Straight to your inbox from Keith himself!

*Trusted by tens of thousands of savvy investors and traders around the world every day

☕️ Can the rally hold and could this be the week Palantir hits $200

Aug 11, 2025

Howdy! 👋

Any close higher for the Nasdaq and it’s a new record. The S&P 500 is nearly stride for stride. The Dow, not so much… at least as I type.

Stay focused.

My experience at moments like this is that when both the Nasdaq and S&P push into uncharted territory, probabilities shift, liquidity flows change, and money managers start repositioning. Usually by sweeping out the weak hands and/or the scared money first.

But – and this is vital to understand as an investor – that’s also when the best companies pull even further ahead. So, again, don’t chase headlines like most folks will.

Get ahead of the leaders… and stay there!

Here’s my playbook.

1 – Yes, the rally can hold but here’s why I expect volatility first

As noted in last night’s short, I see more record territory ahead but expect some volatility first. (Watch)

Keith’s Investing Tip: Many investors hear that word – “volatility” and skitz, but there’s no need. Remember two things if you’re one of ‘em or prone to skitzing (and who isn’t every once in a while) …. a) the markets are the only store on earth where people fear a sale and b) volatility cuts both ways which means every drop lower further counterintuitively clears the path higher.

2 – What I make of China’s take on NVDA’s chips

Short answer, not much.

What’s going on?

Beijing now claims Nvidia’s H20 AI chips aren’t “safe” for domestic use. (Read)

Um, yeah.

China saying Nvidia’s AI chips aren’t “safe” for China is like a pickpocket warning you to guard your wallet.

The H20 is Nvidia’s most powerful AI chip still allowed under U.S. export rules — designed to comply with Washington’s curbs. China’s sudden “safety” concern is pure geopolitics: a two-for-one jab at U.S. tech leadership and a pressure tactic for looser chip restrictions.

In fact, I think the statement has “more flags than a communist parade in Tiananmen Square.”

I’d expect nothing less. (Watch)

3 – Could this be the week Palantir hits $200?

The naysayers and pontificators are already circling — asking if it’s “time to cash out” and trotting out self-inflating questions to make themselves sound smarter, like whether Palantir is still poised for “explosive growth.”

That’s how they ply their trade — stirring doubt, fanning clicks, and pretending they have the market on clairvoyance. 

I’d rather spend my time investing in a company that continues to change our world rather than feeding the drama machine.

Palantir is busy doing what great companies do — firing on all cylinders. 

It wouldn’t take much to top $200 at this point.

Palantir is now one of the top 25 most valuable companies on the planet, customers are running toward it in droves, and the contracts are stacking faster than firewood.

Calls with consulting clients are still dominated by all the reasons why the stock is expensive, overbought, technically ready for a pullback, etc. I shake my head because the herd is almost always wrong.

I cannot stress what I am about to say strongly enough.

There are a lot of investors who are finally figuring out that Palantir is the real deal and they’re rushing into the stock. I’m hearing anecdotal stories about people selling everything else and bragging about how “concentrated” their portfolio is on social media and the family BBQ or borrowing money to “trade” Palantir. Do NOT do stupid stuff with your money, especially if you are feeling FOMO! The big money is hearing those same stories and there is no doubt in my mind that they are going to engineer a pullback past your maximum pain point if you’re overextended (so they can snap up your shares at a discount).

Do NOT give ‘em the opportunity if you can help it!

4 – Something is seriously off with C3 AI

I'm often asked about C3 AI – and this morning’s ~30% plunge reinforces my contention that folks need to tread carefully if they own the stock (and to be clear, I don’t).

The company just warned on revenue, projecting $70.2M–$70.4M for the quarter versus $87.2M a year ago, and losses have nearly doubled. (Read)

CEO Thomas Siebel called the sales results “completely unacceptable,” which, imho, is putting it mildly. He’s blaming a messy global sales reorg, his own health issues, and — here’s the red flag — the fact that his personal involvement in closing deals was apparently critical to hitting numbers.

Not to mention the slurry of other issues that keep surfacing including multiple name changes — C3, C3 Energy, C3 IoT, and now C3 AI — I can’t help but notice the story keeps getting rebranded, too.

Something is seriously off here imho.

If you’re a trader, there might be a quick put sale opportunity here because premiums are higher than they’d otherwise be with a jump in volatility.

But if you’re an investor, that’s going to take a hard look in the mirror and a frank discussion about what you’re hoping to achieve based on your risk tolerance, objectives, and circumstances (which I don’t know).

5 – Beware – the scammers are at it again

Sorry to bring this up and appreciate your patience.

I learned over the weekend that there is a new bunch of scammers out there impersonating me.

BEWARE!

Apparently, they’re using AI to clone my voice, parrot my posts, steal my likeness and even communicate via WhatsApp, Telegram or text.

Please block and report these scumbags immediately – and to law enforcement if necessary.

NEVER send money, crypto or personal info to anyone claiming to be me – ever!

I do NOT do “copy trading” — whatever that is — Discord groups, 1 on 1s, or any of a dozen other things they’re pushing with highly aggressive, criminally oriented posts/accounts like this one:

It’s sad, really — all that energy poured into criminal antics when imagine how different our world would be if even half of it could be used to build real companies, solve real problems, and create real value. 🤦‍

Yeesh.