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☕️ Palantir to $200+ once the sheep catch up

May 14, 2025

Howdy 👋

The S&P 500 has officially erased 2025 losses, powered by easing inflation and whispers of a trade war détente. It’s now up roughly 1,050 points from the April lows. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq just notched its fifth straight gain.

Hard to believe for some… but I think the markets are just getting warmed up. 

History agrees.

I know that’s hard to believe but it’s important you make peace with this concept.

Doubt and fear are normal — and often hardest to overcome at precisely the moments that matter most. 

I've seen this dozens of times in my career and in markets worldwide... FUD eventually gives way to clarity and profits. And that’s happening now.

Investors who lean in despite the fear tend to do very, very well for themselves. 

Those who don't are left at the proverbial bus stop wondering what happened. Worse, they've doomed themselves to perennially poor performance having missed out on yet another chance to make bank.

Investing in optimism always triumphs, especially when most investors believe it's impossible.

Take the risk — or lose the chance.

It’s just that simple.😀

Here’s my playbook.

1 – Is there anything left to buy?

I joined my friend and colleague the fabulous Scott “the Cow Guy” Shellady yesterday for a wide-ranging discussion about what investors should do now and is there anything left to buy. We also talked about what to avoid as well as my thoughts on nuclear/data centre power.

Enjoy! (Watch)

2 – Palantir to $200+ once the sheep catch up

BoA now says Palantir is a “market definer” for AI with a shiny new price target of $150. (Read)

Ya think?!

My target’s still $200, set on 5th February 2025—for the record – after it took out the $100 I’d had on the map since about $50 a share.

If I were a BoA client, I’d be thinking... gee, thanks for nothing. And the question I’d be asking is where were they at $7 or during the recent pull back to $74??!!

Oh, that’s right… many of ‘em were polishing their spreadsheets. 🤦‍

But I digress.

The point I want to make is that waiting for Wall Street analysts is a lot like designing a camel by committee—ugly, slow, and guaranteed to spit in your face. 

To be clear, there are smart, forward-thinking analysts out there, but my experience is that they're rarer than hen's teeth.

When you find one, ya want to pay attention.

If that’s me, great. If it’s somebody else, also great – no offense taken.

For the most part, Wall Street's sell side analyst community is a herd—tight, cautious, and allergic to risk. They won't stick their necks out when it counts, but they'll sure pile on once the coast is clear and the gains are already made.

Want to get ahead?

Think for yourself.

Act when others waffle.

This isn't rocket science.

3 – Why growth is still the real story, not taxes or the Fed

I sat down ahead of today’s opening bell with the super-smart Kristen Scholer at the NYSE for a delightful conversation about why growth is still the real story, not tax cuts or the Fed. We also touched on why I think every serious investor should be all over the Saudi deal announced yesterday. (Watch)

4 – If you’re really an investor, pay attention

President Trump just secured a headline deal: $600 billion in Saudi investment into the U.S. economy. (Read)

The announcement came at the U.S.-Saudi Investment Forum in Riyadh, where Trump also signaled a major foreign policy pivot — including the removal of all U.S. sanctions on Syria and a first-of-its-kind meeting with Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa.

Talk about investing potential!!!

The average investor is lucky to see deals like this once or twice in his or her investing lifetime so it’s important to latch on when you do.

Why?

Saudi Arabia wants to own the future — and they’re using oil money to buy the rails of the next industrial revolution: AI, data infrastructure, and space-based networks.

Logical and to a point I have made many times… I believe that we stand on the cusp of what I call the 6th wave — a shift so massive it’s rewriting human history… in real time.

The sooner you get on board, the sooner your portfolio can thank you.

My POV: Keep politics out of this. Saudi Arabia’s got the money. They’ve got the motivation. And that region of the world is going to matter a lot more to smart investors in the decades ahead — just like China did 30-40 years ago when it first emerged. Or Japan after WWII.

Keith’s Investing Tip: Investing isn’t just about the here and now but often about looking decades ahead to see where the money will get spent. Profits start early and they don’t wait for the headlines.

5 - AMD is much more than Nvidia “lite”

AMD just announced a $6 billion share buyback. (Read)

This is on top of the $4B they already had authorized, signaling serious conviction from the board in AMD’s cash flow strength and long-term roadmap.

The stock is moving.

Hooyah!

The market keeps mispricing AMD because it sees the company as “Nvidia Lite” — and that’s not only off the mark but completely misses it, too.

Yes, AMD still lives in Nvidia’s shadow in the public imagination, but the two aren’t even remotely playing the same game.

AMD’s edge will come down to execution: margins, software leverage, and datacenter traction. That’s where the real story is and what Wall Street should be watching.

I hope I’m smart enough to buy more shares!

Not for nothing but sell side analysts will probably tell you all that after AMD has returned to new all-time highs. 🤦‍️

I told you to buy in April at ~$76 a share and I’m telling you again now at $119 when it’s already +56%.

And if you’re a member of the One Bar Ahead® Family, well done for having been in the game from the very beginning!