☕️ Right on cue, the markets are “off like a rocket”
Apr 08, 2026Howdy! 👋
I have been as emphatic as I have been consistent since the war in Iran started noting repeatedly that…
… “this market will be gone like a rocket” when peace breaks out.
In fact, and just yesterday hours before the President’s deadline, I made that observation again to the Scott “the Cow Guy” Shellady who kindly invited me back on his show. (Watch)
That’s neither here nor there, though.
Now the question becomes will the peace last?
Too early to tell, frankly.
MyPOV is that there will be a few speed bumps given that the deal is already being described as “fragile.”
Make no bones about what I say next.
I am telling you right now point blank that those, too, – meaning the speed bumps – are far more likely to be opportunities than another excuse to run for the hills.
Missing opportunity is always more expensive than trying to avoid risks you can’t control.
Here’s my playbook.
1 – Oil back under $90 and Roth Capital puts a “sell” on these stocks
Roth Capital downgraded six energy stocks on the ceasefire including Diamondback Energy, Permian Resources, Matador Resources, SM Energy, Magnolia Oil & Gas and Talos Energy. (Read)
Um, yeah.
My view is different.
The markets have just handed you another golden opportunity, particularly if you’re a dividend investor.
I’m going shopping… just not for any of those names.
You?
Something to keep in mind.
No matter what happens next, the biggest up days in history cluster right around the biggest down days. Miss a handful of them and your returns get kneecapped.
So don’t put yourself in a position where you miss ‘em.
2 – Delta Airlines: fly ‘em or buy ‘em
Delta reported great numbers this morning:
- Earnings per share: 64 cents adjusted vs. 57 cents expected
- Revenue: $14.2 billion adjusted vs. $14 billion expected
But in the same breath noted that its fuel bill will be $2B higher this quarter because of the oil price spike created by the war in Iran.
What this tells me is that Delta didn’t hedge its fuel exposure properly, which I find surprising given that it owns its own refinery. And while good, plans to cut growth seem to reinforce that idea – at least to me anyway.
So…
Buy ‘em or fly ‘em?
I still think Delta hits $100 a share.
I also still believe that Delta will continue to pull ahead of its peers for a variety of reasons including better management, a lifestyle rebranding and reduced capacity that will push more travelers into premium – read pricier – seats.
Generally speaking, I don't like airline stocks - too much fuel, too much labor, too many headaches - if I did have to pick one, it would be Delta. Used to be Alaska Airlines but that got stuck at the gate some time ago – pun absolutely intended.
Long time 5 with Fitzers may recall that I suggested covered calls on DAL — a strategy that lets you generate income while you wait for a stock to rise — back in August 2025. And in January I said “I could make the argument for $100 a share this time next year. 🤷🏻♂️”
Since then, the stock has returned ~45% versus ~5.7% from the SPY over the same time – a ~7.9 to 1 advantage. Put another way, every $1,000 invested in Delta stock back then is worth $1,450 today versus $1,057 if you’d invested the same amount of money in the SPY.
MyPOV: Indexing – meaning buying an index ETF like SPY – worked for a long time and still works for a lot of investors… right up until they realize a) that the markets have changed and b) they’re leaving a lot of money on the table.
Put another way, you can buy little slices of everything and probably do okay over time. Just know that buying an index fund is a lot like buying cable TV in that you’ve got to pay for 300 channels to get the 3-5 you really want. Just sayin’ 🤔
Keith’s Investing Tip: Buy the best, ignore the rest!®
3 – 35% of the world’s purchasing power just shook hands for the first time in 5 years – and almost nobody noticed
Something quietly historic happened last week and almost nobody noticed. (Read)
A delegation of Indian businesses visited China… for the first time in 5 years.
So?
“Like” China or not, what you want to understand as an investor is that more than 1 in 3 people live in one of those two countries which – when you think about it - means that roughly 35% of the world’s pent-up purchasing power is about to get unleashed.
Many investors tell me they don’t “like” China or don’t want to invest in “Chinese companies” and, while I get it, here’s the thing.
China and India don’t give a rip about what you – or I - think but your portfolio most definitely will.
The Chinese Embassy spokesperson summed it up in three words on X.
"The thaw is real."
Here's why it happened.
The Iran war has exposed something India can no longer ignore — it is dangerously dependent on fossil fuels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Many investors are surprised to learn that India is the world's third largest oil importer. When that Strait sneezes, India catches pneumonia.
So India did what any pragmatic nation does when energy security is on the line.
It swallowed its pride… and called China.
India needs China's battery technology, its EV charging infrastructure, its rare earth dominance. And China, in turn, needs India's billion-plus consumer market.
Neither can afford to ignore the other anymore… and the Iran war just accelerated that reality by about five years.
MyPOV: This isn't a feel-good diplomacy story but a tectonic shift in how two of the world's fastest growing economies are going to do business together — in EVs, batteries, rare earths and renewable energy. The investors who see it early win. The ones who wait for it to show up on the evening news won't.
The OBA Family has been ahead of this curve for a long time and I trust you’ve got this covered in your own portfolio. If not, I’d urge you to think about that very seriously and very quickly.
Keith's Investing Tip: Invest because of China, not necessarily in China — except under very specific circumstances. Buy the best, ignore the rest®.
4 – This drone component maker just filed for an $11B IPO
Connecticut based aerospace and defense components manufacturer Arxis operates in electrical and mechanical components sectors, designing and manufacturing components for aerospace and defense, medical technology and specialized industrial markets – and is now targeting a valuation of up to $11.2 billion in its IPO. (Read)
Should you buy it?
Too early to tell but I sure as heck hope you have at least one drone maker in your portfolio like the OBA Family does.
The global drone market is projected to reach $57.8 billion by 2033 and over $182 billion by 2036.
As is usually the case when this kind of growth surfaces, that means another generation of millionaire-making investment potential.
Sign me up – hooyah!
5 – Here's the robot I want, until I can get an Optimus
We've talked about Optimus and the trillions it's going to unlock sooner than most investors realize.
Meanwhile, I’m Jonesing for this one. (Read)
Meet the Panther — the latest from Chinese robotics firm UniX AI, and the most credible step toward a real home robot I’ve seen yet.
Unveiled on March 31, the Panther handles multi-step household tasks — waking you up, preparing meals, cleaning rooms, organizing items and so on.
UniX AI already has hundreds of millions of yuan in orders and is targeting a monthly delivery run rate of 1,000 units. (Read)
That's a real business.
Panther stands about 5 feet 3 inches tall, weighs roughly 176 pounds, and rolls on a wheeled omnidirectional base purpose-built for indoor environments – which means it’s not suitable for a home with loads of stairs like mine, so there is that.
The wheeled design delivers better stability and energy efficiency than bipedal alternatives, with a battery life running 8 to 16 hours on a single charge or so say engineers who evidently haven’t figured out stairs yet.
A six-microphone array handles voice commands which is pretty straightforward.
The dual robotic arms have multiple joints, lift up to 26 pounds, and place objects with enough precision for real kitchen and household work. The perception system apparently includes dual RGB and RGB-D cameras plus optional 3D LiDAR for mapping and obstacle avoidance.
Panther’s being tested to prepare simple meals, manage morning routines, clean rooms, organize items, handle laundry and move objects around the house. No word on the lawn yet, though. 🙄
I still think Optimus is the one I'll ultimately own, but Panther makes clear the race is very much on — and that companies focused on usability and real-world deployment are the ones pulling ahead.
MyPOV: We are only a few years away from virtually inhabiting a robotic body — attending a wedding across the world, visiting family we can't reach, or having the world's finest surgeon operate from thousands of miles away. Never mind the robots themselves, what makes this really exciting and potentially very profitable is that healthcare won't be location limited. Neither will anything else.
The Sixth Wave is upon us, and investing accordingly should be your highest priority.
Just as it is mine.
Bottom Line
Skipping a workout feels harmless… until it becomes a habit. Same with skipping your investments.
Success doesn’t care about excuses.
You got this – I promise!
Now and as always, let's MAKE it a great day.
Keith 😀
