☕️ Tesla at 2025 highs, analysts still waiting for that “inevitable collapse” 🤦
Dec 16, 2025Howdy! 👋
The markets are going nowhere and everywhere at once.
That’s important for a reason that doesn’t occur to 99% of all market participants.
Time.
Investing and trading are often at odds because there are millions of investors simultaneously making billions of decisions on various time frames.
Some are decidedly longer term because they are buying great companies with great futures and even greater profit potential.
Others are most definitely shorter term and decidedly more concerned with probabilities, often driven by technical indicators that have nothing to do whatsoever with the price or even valuation.
That’s why it is paramount that you know who you are… a topic I have raised more than once in recent weeks as the volatility has accelerated.
So again, take a hard look in the mirror.
Ask yourself.
Are you an investor or a trader?
People think you can be both, but that’s not true.
Deciding now gives you a monster advantage not because you will suddenly be better at either but because you can shed the baggage that makes you worse at both.
The biggest obstacle isn't the markets but the person looking back at you in the mirror every morning.
Here’s my game plan.
1 – Same story, different day – and why “nerves” aren’t the real issue
The official story is that traders are nervously anticipating the November Jobs report (Read).
That’s a smokescreen.
We know better.
They’re really down because big leveraged-up-to-their-eyeballs traders are trying to shed risk because they don’t yet know what that number means to the Fed.
You know what to do.
Hint, it’s not run for the hills. 😜
Keith’s Investing Tip: History shows very clearly that missing opportunity is always more expensive than trying to avoid risks you can’t control… like – oh I dunno – random labor reports.
Btw, I’ll be here if you’d like some help figuring out what moves to make next and which stocks can best help you meet your objectives.
If you’ve got that covered, fabulous – most investors don’t.
2 – Tesla at 2025 highs, analysts still waiting for that “inevitable collapse” 🤦
Unka Elon is pasting the naysayers yet again.
Tesla just closed at 2025 highs (Read)
I hope I own enough shares but probably don’t. 🤦️
3 – Google just became Zillow’s worst nightmare
I make it a point to do two things when it comes to building wealth:
- buy the best and ignore the rest and
- buy companies making “must have” products and services while giving those making “nice to have” stuff a wide berth except under very exceptional and very specific circumstances
Call me crazy but I’ve always viewed Zillow as the latter because I’ve long thought that it would get crushed when Google and/or Amazon got into the real estate business.
Now, that’s apparently happening.
CNBC is reporting that Google appears to be running tests that are consistent with putting real estate listings into search results. (Read)
Zillow’s shares tanked.
Many are already betting on a turnaround, but I’m not so sure that’s in the cards this time around.
Trade Idea: Long Rocket Companies but short/avoid Zillow because the mortgage business could help carry the day even if housing markets remain weak, and Zillow gets shellacked. The risk, of course, is that both stocks rip higher if Google’s move turns out to be a nothing burger.
Or, if you’re into defined risk and less drama… buy 3-6 months call spreads on Rocket but bear put spreads – as opposed to puts by themselves – to cap cost yet still get paid if Zillow drifts… or dumps.
Keith’s Investing Tip: Defined risk beats heroic predictions for the simple reason that the markets love humiliating heroes.
4 – Trump’s BBC Lawsuit isn’t about defamation
US President Donald Trump has filed a $10bn defamation lawsuit against the BBC. (Read)
Agree or not, this isn’t about the suit itself.
I view it as one of the first in a long, very expensive battle on the horizon for personal digital rights.
What makes it very different from suits we have seen in the past is that it’s being played out at the very highest levels first instead of down low where corporations can brush off individuals without the means to bring such suits.
Journalists, imho, have gotten away with creating positioning news rather than reporting it for too long.
I am not sure what the investment angle is here yet, but I am absolutely positive that there will be one.
Hmmm. 🤔
5 – Meta: why am I not surprised
Well what d’ya know.
A report from Reuters suggests that Meta knowingly tolerates rampant ad fraud and other illegal behavior on Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp because it may account for tens of billions in revenue even though the activities being conducted are blatantly illegal AND in violation of its own policies. (Read)
Sadly, Team Zuck will probably skate yet again.
And the dang stock’ll probably hit $1,000.
Keith’s Investing Tip: Morality becomes a rounding error when the scale gets big enough. Know what you’re buying and why the markets (sadly) often price power over ethical debate.
Bottom Line
The most successful investors understand one thing better than most.
Profit potential is directly correlated to the ability to change your mind when presented with accurate information that contradicts your perception and your beliefs.
As always, let’s MAKE it a great day!
You got this – I promise.
Keith 😃
