☕ Two of the “right stocks” if we haven’t heard the last from Iran

Howdy 👋 

I’ve been up since 0300… and re-jiggered everything at least twice today already. 🤦‍ 

Futures were down hard overnight (which is why I got up early to get a head start on things and a downside set-up). Then, minutes after I finished that in intricate detail, President Trump announced that the US and Iran have held “productive” talks and they shot higher. 

All told, a head spinning ~1,100 point swing! 

I’ll take it. 

Profits are always found at the edge of absurdity. 

Now, I think I need a LOT more coffee! ☕️ 

Here’s my playbook. 

1 – What’s my advice to investors now? 

Short answer, the same as it always is. 

Rip your face off rallies inevitably surface at moments when skepticism is highest and investors least expect ‘em to. 

Today’s a great example, in fact. 

I feel very sorry for folks who have sold out in a panic over the past few weeks because they’ve just been left in the dust.  

Here’s the rub. 

Missing the market’s best days could cause your profits to fall by half. 

Bluntly, the markets could easily return to new highs if there’s a foundation for peace in the Middle East at hand.  

Here’s my sleep-deprived interview with the fabulous Stuart Varney who kindly asked me back again ahead of today’s opening bell. (Watch) 

2 – Palantir just got the Pentagon’s blessing – and the spreadsheet gang still doesn’t get it 

Palantir’s Maven AI system has been officially made a “program of record” –Beltway speak for approved, funded and embedded into military operations. (Read) 

I cannot overstate how big a deal this is. 

Palantir is definitely part of the defense “stack” and, importantly, one where failure is not an option and trust is earned the hard way. 

I began talking about Palantir around $7-10 a share, but I still think we are early and that it won’t be long before it’s back at $200. 

History, btw, shows very clearly that there are 10-15 “Palantirs” out there in various stages of maturity. So, it’s important that you identify ‘em early and latch on when you do. The OBA Family, of course, has this covered but the point is that YOU do too. 

Keith’s Investing Tip: The trick with stocks like Palantir is having the courage to sit tight while everybody and their uncle wants to argue over the obvious. 

3 – Tesla’s Terafab – One factory to rule ‘em all 

Tesla, along with SpaceX (and xAI), will build “Terafab” - a fully vertically integrated $20-25B semiconductor factory in Texas which will control chip design, manufacturing, and deployment end-to-end. (Read) 

I think the fact that all three companies are involved – Tesla, SpaceX and xAI – speaks volumes about where the Muskonomy is going. 

What’s happening also makes me think all three companies will be combined at some point in the future. 

You know what to do. 

I hope. 

You know where to find me if not. 

Oh, and check this out! 

The scale of what’s happening is jaw-dropping. 

4 – Gold’s worst week in 15 years 

Many folks think gold is great, and I get why they would. But if that’s true (and you’re one of ‘em), ask yourself why it’s just had its worst week in 15 years? (Read) 

I’ll wait. 

Answer? 

Because it’s not a safe-haven and it IS a highly leveraged institutional liquidity source. 

Gold just logged its ugliest week since 2011 as rising yields, a stronger dollar, fading rate-cut hopes, and plain old deleveraging hit the tape.  

I suggested gold putskies a while back because I think gold could fall by half over the next 12–24 months just like it did in the early 1980s and again after the 2011 peak under similar conditions. Gold dropped 52% from September 1980 to June 1982, and the post-2011 bear market took it down roughly 45% by late 2015. 

Don’t say I didn’t warn you! 

Keith’s Investing Tip: Truly safe havens don’t take a nosedive when institutions need cash. And never try to catch a falling ingot. 

5 – Time to short snacks and fast food? 

Weight-loss drugs like Ozempic and Zepbound are changing how people eat — and that has huge implications for food companies and restaurants. (Read) 

People on GLP-1 drugs are eating ~20% fewer calories, spending ~30% less on groceries, are going out to restaurants less often and snacking much less. 

One in 8 Americans is now using GLP-1 drugs. 

Estimates suggest that this could wipe out $30-55B in food and drink sales by 2030.  

Snacks, fast food… the whole shebang. 

Trade Idea: Short snack companies like General Mills and Hershey. Potentially MCD and Starbucks too. Longer term putskies could be appealing too now that I think about it. 

Bottom Line 

The most important investment skill you can learn is to calculate the future cost of decisions you make today. 

You got this – I promise! 

Now and as always, let’s MAKE it a great day and start the week strong. 

Keith 😀