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☕️ Zero doubt in my mind, I will buy any big tech-induced pullback

Oct 27, 2025

Howdy! 👋

There’s nothing like a little green on the screen to get the week rolling.

To be fair, I have no idea whether we’ll finish that way but that’s neither here nor there.

Nobody does.

What we do know though is important and potentially super profitable.

As noted in last night’s Sunday short, we’re heading into the biggest week of earnings season.

Chance always favours the prepared or so goes the old saying.

So be “prepared.” (Watch)

Missing opportunity is always more expensive than trying to avoid risks you can’t control.

Here’s my playbook.

1 – Zero doubt - I will buy any big tech-induced pullback

I was thrilled to sit down for a great conversation with the super savvy Stuart Varney this morning ahead of today’s opening bell.

He asked me two very critical and super on point questions:

Are we in a “melt-up”?
Could big tech and the earnings derail the rally? And what am I doing if that happens?

You might find my take useful. (Watch)

Speaking of which...

2 - And if you’re worried about “valuations”

I get it – a lot of people are.

The “bubble babble” is intense at the moment and will likely reach a crescendo in the weeks ahead.

Even so, here’s the thing I want you to remember or at least take into consideration.

Many critics forget (or never knew) their history.

The markets often reward outliers.

In fact, high PE ratios often align with extraordinary growth over time. Particularly when executives execute and the markets are in transition from one paradigm to another as is the case with AI.

Here are three examples off the top of my head:

Tesla? Trading at P/Es north of 1,000 from 2020 to 2022. Crazy, right? Yet it still delivered over 1,000% returns in the past five years.

Amazon? P/Es between 200 and 300 in the early 2000s had the valuation gang in fits. It’s returned 70,000% return since its IPO. That’s the kind of “disgusting” that builds empires.

Meta? Team Zuck hit a forward PE of 285 in September 2018 and since then has returned roughly 350%. From its all-time low, the stock has returned roughly 4,107%.

Context is always critical, which is why I often sound like a broken record when it comes to this stuff. Initial losses and low profits or even reduced guidance don’t automatically disqualify a high PE stock if growth is ahead.

Moats, strategy, quality, time horizon… all matter.

Investing isn’t a competition so don’t treat it like one.

That’s a bench-level mistake.

Instead, make it YOUR journey with YOUR stocks, YOUR tactics and YOUR results.

YOUR portfolio will thank you. 💯

Keith’s Investing Tip: Many investors are stuck in the past, which is why they’re struggling to see the forest for the trees. The markets have changed markedly as liquidity and computerization have come on the scene. So have the listed companies.

Any investor who doesn’t adapt is far more likely to get skunked than to succeed.

There will be more profits created over the next 10 years than the last 50 combined – and I’d hate to see you miss that!

If you’re stuck, scared or have no idea what to do next, I understand.

Change is tough.

So let me simply say that I’ll be here if you need me.

3 – A “rip your face off rally” on the horizon?

Washington and Beijing are reportedly closing in on a new trade deal ahead of President Trump’s meeting with President Xi in Seoul this week. (Read)

That alone is enough to light a fire under markets.

Negotiators have already reached a “preliminary consensus” — enough to cool talk of 100% tariffs and even hint at a truce over rare earths and soybeans. That’s a big step back from the brink and exactly the kind of détente markets like to see.

If Trump and Xi actually seal the deal, expect headlines about a “rally on renewed optimism” faster than you can spell “tariff relief.”

Both sides need the win, but Wall Street will take it.

Be sure you’re on board if that’s of interest.

I told Ashley Webster two weeks ago that this could cause a “rip your face off” rally if Presidents Trump and Xi follow through. (Watch)

And it looks like I mighta been on to something… 🤷🏻‍

Trading Idea: I suspect there will also be an element of “buy the rumor, fade the headline” when it’s announced – meaning that the go-fast crew will sell hard and fast when the deal is actually announced. Then load up for the next phase higher. Putskies on the Nasdaq and SPX could be interesting speculative choices in the short term.

4 – Selling a winner too soon will cost ya big time

Chances are good that if you’ve been reading along or watching me on TV over the years, you’ve heard me say, “there’s no need to switch horses in a race you’re winning.”

Many people let that go in one ear and out the other.

Doing so is an expensive mistake.

How expensive?

Ask Unka B.

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is trailing the S&P 500 by the widest margin all year — about seven points — and there’s one reason for it.

Apple. 🍎

More specifically, selling Apple too soon.

Unka Warren and Co. dumped roughly 70% of their stakes right before the stock ripped to new highs, leaving about $50 billion — that’s billion with a “B” — on the table.

Trying to outsmart the tape is like trying to catch lightning in a thimble — and even the greats get singed every now and then. I have too over the years.

The point I want to make is that the markets have a funny way of rewarding investors who ride all the way to the finish line rather than “switching horses” midrace.

5 – Palantir racks up another win

Team Karp just signed a letter of intent with Poland’s Ministry of Defense — a move that strengthens its AI-driven defense footprint across NATO’s eastern flank. (Read)

As I noted to the fabulous Liz Claman on Friday, there’s more growth to come. (Watch)

Palantir has returned 325.41%, 2,142.09% and 1,832.85% over the last 1-, 3-, and 5-year periods. The S&P 500, by comparison, has turned in 18.10%, 79.05% and 101.67% over the same time frame.

You’ve got to be in to win — if you actually want to win, that is.

Companies like Palantir come along once in a blue moon, which is why you want to find ‘em early and latch on when you do. No doubt you’ll have moments when you question what the Sam Heck you were thinking, but those’ll tend to pass over time if you’re buying quality… like Palantir.

Fear’s the market’s oldest con.

And the way to beat it is to remember that the markets reward knowledge, not guesswork. Especially when it comes to finding the next Palantir… that’s where the OBA Family shines. 😀

I trust you’re thinking the same way.

I learned a long time ago that mindset is an edge most investors never develop… and one that can really pay off over time because it represents a huge edge that can help put you on the path to profits and keep you there.

As always, I’ll be here if you need me, btw.

Meanwhile, $200 is just a whisper away.

Hooyah!

BTW, keep an eye on your email for an important update if you’re an OBAer and you own Palantir. 😀