☕ 5 companies at significant risk as crypto crashes
Feb 04, 2026Good morning! 👋
The markets are scary and I’m seeing people make lots of decisions that they are going to regret.
Chill!
Keep your emotions out of the equation!
Look, I get it – what’s happening can be scary and you’re not alone but you’re feeling that way because you fear losing more than you enjoy winning.
Focus on winning for the simple reason that if you are focused on not losing history shows very clearly that’s very likely what you’ll do anyway.
According to FactSet:
- The blended YoY earnings rate is 11.9% as of last Friday.
- 75% of S&P 500 companies have reported positive EPS surprises while 65% have reported positive revenue surprises.
- The average net profit margin is 13.9%, the highest on record since 2009 if memory serves.
Profit potential is directly correlated to the ability to change your mind when presented with accurate information that contradicts your perception and your beliefs.
Here’s my playbook.
1 – The smartest move you can make right now
The super-savvy Maria Bartiromo kindly asked me back early this morning for a wide-ranging discussion about current market conditions, the tech selloff, crypto, gold and more. Then she hit me with what I think is undeniably the best question out there at the moment.
What do investors do and how do they invest now?
Hint: it’s probably not what you think. (Watch)
Buy the best, ignore the rest.®
2 – Five companies at significant risk as crypto crashes
Bitcoin just fell to its lowest level since November 2024, ~$73,000. (Read)
I wish I could say that I’m surprised.
I’m not.
The entire crypto market has lost nearly $500 billion since January 2026.
That’s half a trillion dollars, sports fans.
Reminds me of the Euro banking crisis in 2011-2012 when big traders – think Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Citigroup - went after the weakest balance sheets with such force that Central Banks the world over had to step in.
I said at the time that sooner or later the same traders would eventually turn their attention to the US.
Guess what?
Here we are.
Traders won’t stop (selling) until they’ve squeezed all the blood from every turnip on the block so to speak.
Here are 5 of the biggest, publicly traded companies ranked by crypto on the books:

Trade idea: Putskies, short or avoid ‘em all – which I have repeatedly encouraged so this shouldn’t come as a surprise.
Tesla, in case you’re wondering, is a mid-tier bitcoin holder with roughly 11,509BTC on the books as of Q4 and after taking a ~$239M write-down.
Oh and BTW, His Excellency Big Shortimus Maximus apparently has a similar more extensive list in case you’re interested. (Read)
Seems to me that he is in firm command of the obvious when he says BTC has failed as a safe haven but, considering I’ve said that for years, I’ll take it. 🙄
Keith’s Investing Tip: You can think like a shark or a minnow. Selling doesn’t happen in a vacuum which means that every seller has a buyer. I can almost guarant-spanking-T-you that the big money is buying the very best names exactly as I’m encouraging you to think about doing. Only won’t see it until the next round of SEC filings.
3 – Amazon Preview
Amazon is set to report tomorrow after close. (Read)
Wall Street is expecting another big quarter on paper – roughly $211–212 billion in revenue, up about 12–13% year-over-year, with AWS pegged around $35 billion.
Earnings are forecast near $1.97–$1.98 a share, which sounds fine… until you realise that’s only about 6% growth, because Amazon is still spending aggressively on AI and capex just to keep up.
That means the real question isn’t whether they’ll beat revenue but whether AWS is reaccelerating, whether free cash flow is finally turning the corner and how much more investors are going to be asked to bankroll “future growth”.
MyPOV: There was a time when Amazon defined the future of cloud and commerce. Now, it feels like a company trying desperately to catch up. Not for nothing but Jassy is no Bezos, an observation I’ve made many times.
Pass.
It’s not perfect but it works for me.
You?
4 – Alphabet Preview
Alphabet – parent company of Google – reports later today. (Read)
The Street is looking for revenue around $111–111.4 billion, up roughly 15% year-over-year, driven by continued strength in Search, steady momentum at YouTube, and a real surge in Google Cloud — expected to grow more than 35% to about $16 billion.
Earnings are forecast around $2.60–$2.65 a share, which would represent a healthy 20%+ jump from last year, helped along by improving margins and early signs that AI is starting to pay for itself.
I’m looking for anything innovative rather than more copycat behaviour.
Meanwhile, good on anyone who owns it! 😀
5 – AMD makes it 3 for 3
- Last Monday I told you to watch out for a gold selloff… and that happened. (See #5)
- On Monday I told you Palantir which had been beaten down was poised for a “rip” higher… that came to pass too. (See #2)
- Yesterday morning I told you AMD would turn in great numbers then take a dive. (See #4)
Each time I laid out very specific trade ideas for anybody with the skills and everybody smart enough to listen.
To be clear, I am not bragging – I could easily have been wrong. That’s how the ball bounces or whatever the old expression is. This is a very, very tough business.
But here’s the unvarnished truth most people don’t want to deal with.
Sometimes it’s not what you buy but HOW you play the game.
Keith’s Investing Tip: You will miss 100% of the swings you don’t take. So do yourself a favor by learning how to play the game and step up to the plate. And please don’t tell me you “can’t” because my experience is that anybody can do this – meaning be fabulously successful in the financial markets – when armed with the right knowledge, education, and perspective. I did and thousands of OBAers are doing it right now. You can, too.
One more thing.
You have a choice.
You can decide you’re ready to make a change and go do it.
Or you can give up and continue to fight for Wall Street’s table scraps.
There is no middle ground.
Tough love?
Yep but again, I am not the brightest bulb in the bunch and if I can do it, so can YOU! 🫵
And if you have no idea where to turn, I’m here.
Bottom Line
Uncertainty eventually gives way to clarity.
Be clear.
Your portfolio will thank you!
As always, let’s MAKE it a great day.
You got this — I promise!
Keith 😀
