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☕️ Palantir, gee that sounds familiar and what’s next 😀

Sep 12, 2025

Howdy! 👋

Big rally… now what?

We’re heading into both a Fed decision and September options expiration.

As I’ve noted several times recently, that’s going to introduce an element of volatility to the mix so do not be surprised if that happens.

Today’s session could get spicy, and it wouldn’t be a stretch to imagine that next week either.

As always…

Plan your investing
Invest your plan

This does not have to be difficult even though Wall Street wants you to believe it is and many people have fallen for their nonsense.

Buy the best, ignore the rest.

1 – Oracle down another 2.95%, time to buy?

Oracle popped on 10th September, tacking on an incredible $86.82 per share or roughly 35.9%.

People fell all over themselves to buy because they got the worst case of FOMO in years.

I told you point blank in the 5 with Fitz that day… (See #3)

Since the peak of $345.72, shares are down ~15% as I type.

Meanwhile, the ORCL Oct 2025 340.000 put (ORCL251017P00340000) – a bet the stock goes down - is +26.90% as I type, according to Yahoo Finance.

Keith’s Investing Tip: Learning how to trade around core investing positions can be one of the single most important skills any investor has… or needs to learn IMHO.

Situations like this one are a great example, but that’s neither here nor there.

Many folks who missed Oracle are now asking themselves:

Is it time to buy the stock?

I like Oracle a lot given everything that’s happening, but my guts are telling me that the big money isn’t done taking the weak hands for a ride.

Volatility is still too high.

OBAers: We, of course, have had this covered for a while now and very well I might add. I’ll share my thoughts on what to do next in this week's AMAs which will be out shortly.

Btw, if you’re not an OBAer and you’d like to learn how to use tactics like this, I’ll be here. People regularly tell me that the knowledge they’ve built by being part of the OBA Family has changed their lives and made them better, more consistent and calmer investors. And, traders.

2 – Winklevoss twins see bitcoin at $1M in 10 years

I get it.

Another day, another big number. (Read)

Are they right?

Hard to say but I wouldn’t ignore it because the institutions aren’t.

3 – Oracle, Paramount and a dinner table playbook?

Normally, I wouldn’t give a patoot about a deal like this but in this instance, we’re talking about a charge being led by none other than David Ellison. (Read)

If that name is familiar, it should be.

He’s Larry Ellison’s son… as in that Ellison… of Oracle.

I’ll bet you dimes to dollars there’s a dinner table playbook in action.

Ellison Sr. is going after AI while Ellison Jr. is going after streaming.

I smell a lot of revenue up for grabs.

And another acquisition down the line… I can easily imagine Oracle buying any number of media properties once both Ellisons change the game. Maybe even Paramount.

Hmmm. 🤔

Mark my words, you heard it here first.

Speaking of which…

4 – Palantir, gee that sounds familiar

I am seeing a whole lot of traffic this morning.

My email’s exploded.

Folks are saying they fear not owning enough Palantir. And CNBC’s Jim Cramer has called it one of the most controversial stocks ever.

Thanks for remembering everyone!

I said the same thing nearly verbatim to Charles Payne in February 2023 in this interview. (Watch)

Palantir has returned ~1,716.29% since then.

I am not telling you this to brag for the simple reason that a) that’s not my style and b) I could easily have been wrong. This is a very tough business.

My point is to make you think.

What’s next?

$200 a share, a target that I’ve had on the books since February long before most folks could spell the company’s name and analysts were still calling it vaporware, cooked and overvalued among other things.

I think $500 a few years from now.

And yes, Palantir will still be one of the most controversial stocks any individual investor can own.

5 – Opendoor +78% - buy, sell or hold?

Opendoor jumped 78% yesterday after naming former Shopify exec Kaz Nejatian as CEO and bringing co-founder Keith Rabois back as chairman. (Read)

Shares are now up more than 500% this year.

Not too shabby for a company that was trading under $1 and nearly delisted a few months ago.

People are falling all over themselves to buy but I’m not certain that’s gonna work out.

This kind of move is becoming all too common.

Once wired for quality, today’s markets are wired for speed, driven by algorithms and social momentum that can push a stock up 50%, 100%, even 500% in no time flat.

Most investors fail to grasp the nuance.

That doesn’t mean the business has changed overnight. It just means the attention machine is in overdrive.

The real money always gets made by companies that’ll be there when you need ‘em.

Not just those that are “there” in the moment.

If you’re a trader, great… there’s a place for that. But if you’re an investor, you’ve got to think over the horizon.

I see a return to $5 fairly quickly.

Short, putskies or just avoid. 🤷🏻‍

Keith’s Investing Tip: Most investors fail because they lack a proven long-term framework to get ‘em past short-term noise… and temptation. Keep your emotions outta the equation.